Siroco vs Grisen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siroco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SJU
2 - 2
SIR
65%
18%
18%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SIR
0 - 2
RCA
19%
18%
63%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
HUR
4 - 1
SIR
71%
16%
13%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
BAN
7 - 2
SIR
47%
21%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
SIR
4 - 5
SJU
48%
21%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Grisen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
GRI
1 - 1
AMP
26%
22%
52%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SJU
4 - 1
GRI
58%
20%
22%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PIN
2 - 0
GRI
62%
20%
19%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
GRI
3 - 0
LEM
35%
22%
43%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
UCA
1 - 1
GRI
80%
13%
8%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +1 |