Siroco vs Valdefierro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siroco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SIR
6 - 0
BAN
47%
22%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SJU
0 - 4
SIR
27%
21%
52%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SIR
3 - 1
SJO
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ZAR
2 - 10
SIR
34%
22%
44%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SIR
2 - 1
NIB
56%
21%
23%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valdefierro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
AVE
2 - 2
VAL
71%
16%
13%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAS
24%
21%
55%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BAN
4 - 1
VAL
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 3
SJU
49%
22%
29%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SJO
2 - 3
VAL
61%
20%
20%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |