Siroco vs Peñaflor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siroco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
OAN
1 - 3
SIR
39%
21%
41%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SIR
1 - 0
MON
35%
22%
43%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
OLI
2 - 1
SIR
86%
9%
5%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SIR
3 - 2
ACU
42%
21%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
AMP
2 - 1
SIR
61%
19%
20%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PAD
3 - 2
ALF
23%
20%
57%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PAD
0 - 4
AMP
53%
21%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AZA
3 - 3
PAD
88%
9%
4%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
GRI
2 - 1
PAD
32%
22%
46%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PAD
3 - 2
VIL
65%
18%
17%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |