Sirnach vs Wil II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
46.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sirnach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SIR
1 - 1
UZW
32%
22%
46%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
RUT
2 - 2
SIR
84%
10%
6%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SIR
0 - 2
CHU
38%
23%
40%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
KOS
2 - 1
SIR
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SIR
3 - 2
UST
39%
25%
37%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 3
WIL
24%
21%
56%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 2
FRE
34%
21%
45%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FCS
0 - 0
WIL
26%
21%
53%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 2
FRA
37%
21%
42%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
WIL
5 - 0
KRE
46%
20%
34%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |