Sirnach vs Frauenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
50.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sirnach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 0
SIR
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
SIR
2 - 4
TUG
16%
19%
65%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
KRE
1 - 1
SIR
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
SIR
3 - 2
MEL
59%
21%
21%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
RUT
4 - 0
SIR
70%
16%
14%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Frauenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
FRA
8 - 0
MAR
76%
14%
11%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 1
WID
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
UST
1 - 2
FRA
34%
24%
41%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 1
UZW
69%
16%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
GOS
1 - 4
FRA
16%
18%
66%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |