Sirnach vs Oerlikon / Polizei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sirnach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CHU
3 - 3
SIR
70%
17%
14%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SIR
1 - 3
LIN
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 0
SIR
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Oerlikon / Polizei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FCO
2 - 0
SEU
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 1
FCO
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
FCO
0 - 1
SVS
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
FCO
2 - 2
RSZ
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
KUS
1 - 1
FCO
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |