IK Sirius vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
8º
15º
8º
62
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
OST
0 - 6
SIR
5%
13%
82%
|
74 | 40 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HÄC
3 - 2
SIR
70%
17%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SIR
3 - 0
KAL
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ELF
1 - 0
SIR
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
SIR
0 - 1
AIK
31%
26%
44%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
SME
0 - 2
MFF
4%
12%
84%
|
82 | 40 | 42 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MFF
0 - 0
DJU
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
MJÄ
1 - 0
MFF
32%
26%
43%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
MFF
3 - 0
HAL
61%
22%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
MFF
3 - 1
IFK
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |