IK Sirius vs IFK Varnamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
13º
9º
31
9º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
DJU
2 - 0
SIR
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 2
SIR
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 0
HAL
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 0
IKB
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 0
SIR
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Varnamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 4
MFF
28%
26%
47%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 2
GAI
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
ELF
2 - 2
IFK
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
IFK
2 - 1
UTS
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 1
IFK
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |