IK Sirius vs IFK Norrköping analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
14º
12º
19
5º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 61 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 51 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 50 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 49 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 40 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 34 |
12º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 19 |
16º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2025 |
HIF
3 - 2
SIR
42%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SIR
2 - 0
HÄC
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
DEG
1 - 1
SIR
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SIR
1 - 1
HAL
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
ELF
4 - 3
SIR
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Norrköping
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2025 |
NOR
1 - 2
DEG
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
HIF
1 - 1
NOR
41%
25%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
NOR
0 - 2
HÄC
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 3
NOR
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
NOR
2 - 3
GÖT
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |