IK Sirius vs IFK Norrköping analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
37.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
13º
9º
34
7º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
HIF
3 - 0
SIR
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SIR
0 - 0
VAS
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
SIR
2 - 2
GÖT
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AIK
1 - 3
SIR
43%
27%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SIR
0 - 3
HÄC
38%
24%
39%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
IFK Norrköping
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 4
IFK
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
BRO
2 - 1
NOR
32%
24%
44%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 1
NOR
34%
25%
40%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 2
HIF
45%
26%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
AIK
6 - 2
NOR
32%
26%
41%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |