IK Sirius vs IFK Norrköping analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
38%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
8º
15º
8º
41
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DJU
2 - 4
SIR
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
HIF
2 - 2
SIR
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SIR
3 - 2
BRO
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
HIF
1 - 0
SIR
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GÖT
0 - 1
SIR
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Norrköping
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
NOR
4 - 3
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 1
MFF
44%
25%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HÄC
4 - 1
NOR
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
IFK
2 - 1
NOR
24%
25%
52%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 0
KAL
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |