IK Sirius vs Hammarby IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
14º
12º
36
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 61 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 57 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 51 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 51 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 50 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 49 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 47 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 41 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 40 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 20 |
16º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 21.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 47.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 31% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
SIR
0 - 1
GÖT
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
SIR
1 - 2
MJÄ
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
GÖT
3 - 1
SIR
37%
26%
38%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
OIF
2 - 2
SIR
30%
25%
46%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
AIK
1 - 2
SIR
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
HIF
0 - 0
CHA
31%
24%
46%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
HIF
3 - 2
BRO
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
GAI
3 - 2
HIF
35%
29%
36%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
HIF
1 - 0
IFK
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
HIF
2 - 0
HAL
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |