IK Sirius vs Brommapojkarna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
14º
12º
19
8º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 61 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 51 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 50 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 49 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 40 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 34 |
12º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 19 |
16º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 96% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SIR
0 - 1
DJU
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 2
SIR
29%
26%
44%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SIR
3 - 1
SEI
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2025 |
GEF
0 - 1
SIR
11%
17%
72%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
HIF
4 - 0
SIR
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Brommapojkarna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
BRO
0 - 2
HIF
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
HÄC
2 - 0
BRO
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
ORE
1 - 3
BRO
18%
20%
62%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
BRO
3 - 0
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
OIF
5 - 1
BRO
43%
23%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |