Syria vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
CHN
3 - 1
SYR
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
GUM
0 - 3
SYR
3%
7%
90%
|
75 | 27 | 48 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
MDV
0 - 4
SYR
7%
15%
79%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
IRN
3 - 0
SYR
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
BHR
3 - 1
SYR
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
RSA
3 - 2
UGA
59%
25%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
MWI
1 - 0
UGA
21%
26%
53%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
UGA
0 - 0
BFA
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
UGA
2 - 5
MAR
15%
27%
58%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
UGA
1 - 2
TOG
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |