Syria vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
JOR
2 - 0
SYR
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
SYR
1 - 0
TJK
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
SYR
1 - 2
MTN
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
SYR
2 - 0
TUN
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
UAE
2 - 1
SYR
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
IRQ
1 - 1
OMA
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
IRQ
3 - 1
ZAM
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
IRQ
1 - 0
UGA
60%
24%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
QAT
3 - 0
IRQ
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
BHR
0 - 0
IRQ
40%
26%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |