Syria vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
JOR
3 - 0
SYR
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2006 |
SYR
1 - 2
IRQ
27%
24%
50%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2006 |
SYR
1 - 3
IRQ
28%
24%
48%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2006 |
NPL
2 - 1
SYR
15%
20%
65%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
TWN
0 - 4
SYR
3%
12%
85%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2006 |
UKR
3 - 0
LBY
68%
21%
11%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2006 |
LBY
1 - 1
BLR
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2006 |
LBY
1 - 2
URU
16%
25%
60%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
LBY
0 - 0
MAR
16%
25%
59%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
LBY
1 - 2
CIV
18%
24%
58%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |