Syria vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
KWT
1 - 1
SYR
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
SYR
1 - 1
SWE
22%
27%
51%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
CHN
0 - 0
SYR
63%
20%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
ZIM
0 - 6
SYR
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2009 |
MAS
4 - 1
SYR
17%
21%
62%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
LBN
1 - 1
VIE
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CHN
1 - 0
LBN
85%
11%
4%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
LBN
0 - 2
CHN
10%
20%
71%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
SYR
1 - 0
LBN
72%
18%
11%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
KGZ
1 - 1
LBN
25%
23%
53%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |