Syria vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2004 |
SYR
2 - 1
TJK
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2004 |
KWT
1 - 2
SYR
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2004 |
KWT
0 - 1
SYR
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
SDN
0 - 0
SYR
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2004 |
SDN
1 - 2
SYR
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2004 |
IRN
4 - 0
LBN
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
LBN
3 - 0
MDV
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2004 |
LBN
2 - 2
BHR
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
VIE
0 - 2
LBN
34%
24%
42%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2004 |
LBN
0 - 1
SYR
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |