Sirens vs San Gwann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
34.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sirens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
GHA
3 - 1
SIR
27%
25%
49%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
SIR
1 - 2
ZEJ
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
GUD
0 - 6
SIR
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
GHA
0 - 1
SIR
11%
17%
72%
|
49 | 18 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
SIR
0 - 3
ZAB
57%
22%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
San Gwann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
ZEJ
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ZAB
0 - 0
SAN
30%
24%
45%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
HAM
46%
23%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
MEL
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SEN
1 - 2
SAN
25%
22%
53%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |