Sirens vs Mtarfa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sirens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 1
SIR
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SIR
2 - 2
ZEB
51%
23%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GUD
1 - 2
SIR
36%
26%
39%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SIR
0 - 3
VAL
24%
25%
50%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
SLI
3 - 0
SIR
61%
24%
15%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Mtarfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MTA
0 - 2
MGA
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SEN
2 - 1
MTA
53%
23%
23%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MTA
1 - 2
FUN
35%
25%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TAR
2 - 0
MTA
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MTA
0 - 2
MGA
34%
25%
42%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |