Sirens vs Hibernians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
57.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
9º
13º
9º
46
2º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sirens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
SIR
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SIR
2 - 0
GUD
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SLU
0 - 0
SIR
44%
24%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
SIR
3 - 3
ZEB
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 0
SIR
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
HIB
2 - 1
PIE
78%
15%
6%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 1
BIR
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
HIB
20%
23%
58%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HIB
2 - 1
GUD
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SLU
2 - 3
HIB
15%
22%
63%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |