Siracusa vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CAV
2 - 0
SIR
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
SIR
1 - 0
VIT
30%
28%
43%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
RPO
2 - 0
SIR
57%
24%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
REN
0 - 1
SIR
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
SIR
0 - 2
REG
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 1
USV
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
REN
3 - 1
FRA
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 0
REG
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 0
FRA
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
FRA
3 - 0
MAT
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |