Siracusa vs Sicula Leonzio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
TRA
2 - 1
SIR
70%
20%
11%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
SIR
3 - 1
PAG
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SIR
0 - 3
JUS
42%
26%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SIR
3 - 3
REG
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
USV
1 - 2
SIR
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sicula Leonzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CAV
0 - 0
SIC
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SIC
1 - 0
FRA
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
TRA
3 - 0
SIC
70%
20%
11%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SIC
3 - 0
MAT
30%
27%
44%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
SIE
2 - 0
SIC
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |