Siracusa vs Nissa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
14%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
16º
1º
46
6º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 82 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 81 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 53 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
62.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 40 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 38 |
12º
|
2% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 38 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 33 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
24% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 30 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 27 |
18º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
56% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
44% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
RAG
1 - 2
SIR
24%
27%
49%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
SIR
1 - 2
ASD
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 0
FCI
80%
15%
5%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
USV
0 - 1
SIR
21%
26%
52%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
PAT
1 - 1
SIR
8%
21%
72%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Nissa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NIS
4 - 1
PAT
49%
25%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
USV
4 - 0
NIS
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
LIC
2 - 3
NIS
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
NIS
1 - 0
AKR
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ENN
2 - 2
NIS
25%
21%
54%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |