Siracusa vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SIR
2 - 0
REN
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VIG
1 - 0
SIR
10%
20%
70%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SIR
3 - 1
CAV
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 1
SIR
17%
24%
59%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SIR
2 - 0
ROC
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
REN
2 - 0
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 0
VIG
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAV
2 - 1
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
LEO
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 2
MAR
55%
21%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |