Siracusa vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
REG
0 - 2
SIR
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SIR
2 - 3
PAG
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SIR
1 - 0
FRA
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
SIR
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SIR
0 - 1
CAT
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
LEC
2 - 1
CAS
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
FIA
1 - 1
LEC
21%
26%
53%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
LEC
1 - 0
NUO
66%
20%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
MAT
0 - 1
LEC
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
LEC
0 - 0
AKR
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |