Siracusa vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LEC
2 - 1
SIR
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SIR
3 - 2
JUS
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
SIR
40%
25%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
SIR
0 - 0
TAR
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
USF
3 - 0
SIR
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ASM
1 - 2
FIA
27%
27%
47%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
FON
2 - 1
ASM
73%
17%
11%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ASM
0 - 2
NUO
26%
26%
49%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 1
ASM
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 2
JUS
22%
25%
53%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |