Copa Guatemala 1/16
Global 5-4
Siquinalá vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siquinalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SIQ
2 - 2
CHI
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
NUE
2 - 2
SIQ
20%
20%
60%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
TOR
3 - 3
SIQ
61%
24%
15%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SIQ
4 - 3
DSA
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -6 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 0
SIQ
26%
30%
44%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SLC
1 - 0
NUE
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
NUE
2 - 2
SIQ
20%
20%
60%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
NUE
0 - 0
REU
39%
23%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
LEO
2 - 1
NUE
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
NUE
3 - 1
QUI
39%
25%
37%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +3 |