Sioux Falls Thunder vs Aris analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.8%
4.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sioux Falls Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
SFT
1 - 3
DAK
57%
19%
24%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
SFT
3 - 3
JOY
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
MIN
5 - 0
SFT
90%
8%
3%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ARI
1 - 1
SFT
8%
14%
77%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
SFT
0 - 4
MEC
11%
17%
73%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Aris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
DUL
6 - 0
ARI
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
MIN
3 - 0
ARI
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ARI
1 - 1
SFT
8%
14%
77%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
ARI
1 - 6
JOY
5%
11%
84%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
DAK
3 - 0
ARI
73%
15%
12%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |