Sioux Falls Thunder vs Duluth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
76.8%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sioux Falls Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
SFT
1 - 4
MIN
21%
19%
60%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
SFT
1 - 3
DAK
31%
21%
48%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
MIN
2 - 0
SFT
91%
7%
3%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
SFT
0 - 2
MEC
12%
17%
71%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
SFT
4 - 0
ARI
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Duluth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
MIN
1 - 2
DUL
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
DUL
1 - 1
MEC
43%
22%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
DAK
0 - 3
DUL
16%
18%
66%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
DUL
2 - 2
MIN
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
DES
1 - 1
DUL
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +1 |