Sioux Falls Thunder vs Duluth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
79.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sioux Falls Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2018 |
MEC
3 - 1
SFT
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SFT
2 - 3
MIN
13%
17%
70%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2018 |
VSL
1 - 0
SFT
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SFT
6 - 1
ARI
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SFT
2 - 2
MIN
7%
13%
81%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
Duluth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
DUL
1 - 1
MIN
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2018 |
MEC
0 - 0
DUL
46%
21%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ARI
1 - 7
DUL
4%
10%
86%
|
38 | 9 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2018 |
DUL
0 - 2
LOU
25%
23%
53%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MIN
3 - 3
DUL
28%
21%
51%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |