Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 1-4
Sion vs Sūduva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
LAU
0 - 1
SIO
25%
25%
50%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
SUD
3 - 0
SIO
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
THU
0 - 1
SIO
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
SIO
0 - 2
ATH
26%
27%
47%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
SIO
0 - 1
PSV
25%
23%
52%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
SUD
3 - 0
SIO
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
UUT
1 - 0
SUD
12%
20%
68%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
SUD
0 - 1
LIE
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
LIE
0 - 2
SUD
32%
24%
45%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
SUD
2 - 1
SHA
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |