Sion vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
9º
9º
49
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
YFJ
0 - 2
SIO
8%
14%
78%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 1
BAS
31%
24%
45%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GCZ
3 - 1
SIO
33%
26%
42%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DEL
1 - 1
SIO
7%
14%
79%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SIO
2 - 0
WIN
44%
24%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 2
LUG
27%
23%
50%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 3
LUG
16%
19%
65%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 1
STG
39%
24%
37%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
BJK
5 - 1
LUG
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
3 - 3
BJK
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |