Sion vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
9º
9º
49
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
BAS
2 - 0
SIO
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
FCL
2 - 1
SIO
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
SIO
2 - 1
ZUR
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
YOB
5 - 1
SIO
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
SIO
3 - 3
SER
40%
25%
34%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
CEL
1 - 0
LUG
32%
23%
45%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
LUG
0 - 3
ZUR
45%
25%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
BIE
2 - 0
LUG
18%
21%
61%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
YOB
1 - 0
LUG
45%
23%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCL
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |