Sion vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
47.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
10º
10º
57
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
JAB
0 - 1
SIO
36%
24%
40%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
STU
3 - 0
SIO
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
THU
2 - 1
SIO
27%
23%
50%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SIO
2 - 7
STG
22%
22%
56%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 2
SIO
22%
22%
56%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LUG
3 - 0
NEX
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 0
PGL
50%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 7
STP
48%
23%
28%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
FIO
6 - 1
LUG
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
LUG
3 - 0
FRE
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |