Sion vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
THU
0 - 2
SIO
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SIO
1 - 3
YOB
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
BRU
0 - 2
SIO
6%
14%
80%
|
80 | 22 | 58 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
SIO
3 - 1
ZUR
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
FCV
1 - 1
SIO
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LUG
0 - 1
FCL
25%
24%
52%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 3
BAS
19%
21%
61%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 2
LUG
4%
11%
85%
|
71 | 24 | 47 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
YOB
0 - 1
LUG
70%
18%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
GCZ
6 - 1
LUG
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |