Sion vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
3º
1º
43
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 4
SIO
23%
25%
53%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
SIO
0 - 1
ANN
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
SIO
3 - 2
SMR
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
YOB
4 - 3
SIO
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
SIO
2 - 1
SCH
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
BAD
1 - 2
FCA
17%
21%
62%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
FCV
45%
24%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
ZUR
4 - 2
FCA
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 3
FCA
66%
20%
15%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
NEX
2 - 1
FCA
22%
23%
55%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |