Sion vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
41.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
3º
1º
43
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
FCV
0 - 2
SIO
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
SIO
4 - 1
NEX
65%
21%
15%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
SIO
3 - 1
YVE
35%
24%
41%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
LAU
3 - 1
SIO
49%
23%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
STA
4 - 2
SIO
47%
23%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 0
BAD
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 0
FCA
38%
24%
38%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
WIN
2 - 0
FCA
39%
23%
39%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
FCL
2 - 1
FCA
56%
21%
23%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 2
LAU
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |