Sion vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SIO
2 - 2
FCL
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
FCV
0 - 2
SIO
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 1
SIO
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
SIO
0 - 1
CSK
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SIO
3 - 2
SGD
54%
25%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ZUR
0 - 0
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
FCL
4 - 0
FCA
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FCA
0 - 1
FCV
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
THU
1 - 1
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 0
FCA
39%
24%
38%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |