Sion vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
59.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
10º
10º
47
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 0
SIO
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
GCZ
1 - 3
SIO
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SIO
2 - 2
SER
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 2
SIO
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 2
GCZ
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 2
FCL
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
NIC
1 - 2
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
YOB
37%
24%
39%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 2
NIC
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BAS
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |