Sint Maarten vs Guadalupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.7%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
81.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4151%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sint Maarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
SXM
2 - 5
TCA
6%
11%
83%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
GLP
5 - 1
SXM
80%
14%
7%
|
9 | 56 | 47 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
SXM
4 - 3
MAF
40%
22%
38%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
SXM
0 - 2
DMA
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 40 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
BMU
12 - 0
SXM
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 51 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Guadalupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
TCA
0 - 3
GLP
11%
16%
73%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
GLP
5 - 1
SXM
80%
14%
7%
|
56 | 9 | 47 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
GLP
0 - 1
MTQ
18%
19%
63%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
CUW
6 - 0
GLP
34%
23%
44%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
GLP
0 - 0
ABW
69%
19%
13%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |