Sint Maarten vs U.S. Virgin Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4259%
+572%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sint Maarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
GRD
5 - 0
SXM
90%
8%
2%
|
9 | 50 | 41 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1993 |
SXM
2 - 2
KNA
23%
28%
49%
|
9 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1993 |
JAM
2 - 0
SXM
75%
18%
7%
|
9 | 65 | 56 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1993 |
PRI
3 - 0
SXM
84%
11%
4%
|
9 | 54 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
U.S. Virgin Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 4
BRB
15%
20%
65%
|
11 | 51 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
BRB
0 - 1
VIR
79%
15%
7%
|
10 | 52 | 42 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 2
5%
13%
82%
|
11 | 40 | 29 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
MSR
1 - 0
VIR
40%
23%
37%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
CUW
6 - 1
VIR
76%
15%
9%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | 0 |