Sint Maarten vs Dominica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.1%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
80.4%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sint Maarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
BMU
12 - 0
SXM
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 51 | 44 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
HTI
13 - 0
SXM
79%
16%
5%
|
8 | 67 | 59 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SXM
1 - 2
VIR
32%
24%
44%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
GRD
5 - 0
SXM
90%
8%
2%
|
9 | 50 | 41 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1993 |
SXM
2 - 2
KNA
23%
28%
49%
|
9 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
CAN
5 - 0
DMA
82%
14%
3%
|
40 | 77 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
DMA
0 - 0
SUR
26%
23%
50%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
ATG
0 - 0
DMA
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
DMA
2 - 2
VCT
26%
22%
52%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
LCA
0 - 0
DMA
59%
22%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |