Simurq vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
36.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simurq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
FKN
1 - 0
SIM
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FCK
1 - 1
SIM
25%
28%
47%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
SIM
0 - 0
FKN
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
SIM
0 - 0
FKB
39%
29%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SIM
0 - 2
FKN
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
QAR
0 - 0
FKQ
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
QAR
0 - 0
SHA
45%
29%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
FKQ
1 - 1
QAR
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
REV
2 - 3
QAR
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
QAR
3 - 0
SUM
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |