Simurq vs MOIK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
15.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simurq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SIM
0 - 1
TUR
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
FCK
0 - 1
SIM
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SIM
1 - 3
MUG
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SIM
0 - 1
MUG
49%
27%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
SIM
0 - 3
FKN
29%
30%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
MOIK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
MOI
0 - 0
MUG
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
TUR
1 - 0
MOI
57%
25%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MOI
1 - 1
FKQ
20%
29%
51%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
FKN
1 - 0
MOI
75%
18%
7%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
MOI
0 - 4
SHA
16%
24%
60%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | -1 |