Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 0-4
Simurq vs Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simurq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
KHA
3 - 1
SIM
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2009 |
SIM
1 - 0
QAR
55%
26%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
FKB
1 - 0
SIM
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SIM
3 - 1
SSU
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
AZA
0 - 2
SIM
41%
30%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
BSA
3 - 1
BNE
41%
29%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
BNE
0 - 0
IKS
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
MTA
2 - 1
BNE
47%
28%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
BNE
2 - 1
HAP
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ASH
0 - 3
BNE
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |