Simba SC vs Toto Africans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
COA
0 - 2
SIM
15%
27%
59%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SIM
1 - 0
TAN
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
SIM
3 - 0
NDA
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +7 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SIM
2 - 0
MBE
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
YOU
2 - 0
SIM
55%
23%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Toto Africans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
TOT
1 - 2
MMA
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TOT
1 - 1
AZA
32%
29%
38%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
AFS
1 - 2
TOT
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
JKT
2 - 1
TOT
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
JKT
2 - 0
TOT
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |