Simba SC vs Mwadui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
SIM
0 - 0
AZA
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SIM
0 - 1
TOT
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
COA
0 - 2
SIM
15%
27%
59%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -7 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SIM
1 - 0
TAN
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
SIM
3 - 0
NDA
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +7 |
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
MWA
2 - 1
SUN
50%
27%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
YOU
2 - 1
MWA
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
NDA
2 - 1
MWA
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MWA
1 - 2
MTI
49%
28%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
JKT
1 - 1
MWA
24%
28%
48%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |