Simba SC vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
NAM
2 - 2
SIM
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
YOU
2 - 1
SIM
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
IFC
1 - 1
SIM
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 0
SIM
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SIM
0 - 1
ALA
27%
23%
50%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
JKT
2 - 1
MTI
43%
29%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
MTI
0 - 1
KMC
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GGF
2 - 2
MTI
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
KAG
0 - 0
MTI
46%
29%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MTI
2 - 1
TAN
33%
30%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |