Simba SC vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+119%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SUN
1 - 2
SIM
35%
31%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
MBA
2 - 2
SIM
38%
30%
33%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SIM
3 - 0
MWA
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
AZA
0 - 0
SIM
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SIM
7 - 0
RUV
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
YOU
0 - 0
MTI
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
RUV
1 - 1
MTI
27%
29%
45%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
MTI
2 - 1
MBA
55%
26%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MTI
1 - 0
MWA
57%
26%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MTI
1 - 0
SUN
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |